Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -9 (116-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 32 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 23 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 40 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 38 | 7-18 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 7-18 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter