Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.9% | 29.1% | -4.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 (123-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 13-24 | 3-6 | 8-11 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 27 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 24 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cason Wallace | 22 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 19 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 39 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 39 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 7-7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 8-21 | 4-13 | 9-10 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Clark * | 17 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 33 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rob Dillingham | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter