🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% - ✓
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 ✓ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (129-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 2-13 0-7 3-3 5 8 1 1 7 - -
Ja Morant * 34 6-13 2-4 7-7 2 10 0 0 21 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 25 9-18 1-5 3-6 3 4 2 1 22 - -
Zach Edey * 24 2-5 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 1 6 - -
Jaylen Wells * 21 5-10 4-7 0-2 4 0 0 0 14 - -
Santi Aldama 28 6-11 3-6 0-0 6 1 1 1 15 - -
Luke Kennard 25 6-8 3-5 4-4 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 19 2-5 1-2 5-5 1 1 2 0 10 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
GG Jackson 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 36 10-20 1-8 4-6 13 8 0 3 25 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 35 11-23 4-8 7-11 2 6 0 0 33 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 6-8 0-0 1-4 10 1 1 0 13 - -
Max Strus * 30 3-8 3-8 2-2 8 3 0 1 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 19 2-5 1-4 1-2 4 0 0 1 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter 25 4-10 0-4 4-4 8 2 0 0 12 - -
Ty Jerome 22 9-16 3-7 5-6 5 4 2 0 26 - -
Sam Merrill 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Dean Wade 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter