Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 39 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 39 | 12-27 | 3-12 | 13-14 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 35 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 37 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter