Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +18 (127-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 41 | 12-15 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 12-25 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 29 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter