Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +24 (126-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 31 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kylor Kelley | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 29 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 12-20 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 17 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yuri Collins | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter