Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | β (29.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -23 (100-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 35 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 30 | 10-22 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Jemison III | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 6-13 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 24 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter