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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Log Adjusted 60.5% 39.5% -
Points Off/Def 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -24 (108-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler III * 31 5-10 0-1 7-7 3 7 3 0 17 - -
Brandin Podziemski * 30 9-20 2-9 1-1 3 5 1 0 21 - -
Stephen Curry * 30 7-13 4-9 2-2 1 6 2 0 20 - -
Moses Moody * 28 8-11 5-8 1-1 2 4 0 1 22 - -
Draymond Green * 28 3-7 0-2 0-0 8 9 0 2 6 - -
Buddy Hield 25 8-11 5-8 1-1 3 2 1 0 22 - -
Gary Payton II 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney 14 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 - -
Quinten Post 13 3-5 3-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 9 - -
Gui Santos 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 2 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Pat Spencer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 33 10-14 4-7 10-10 4 6 1 0 34 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 5-10 3-5 0-0 5 0 1 1 13 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 5-12 2-7 1-1 5 3 1 0 13 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 31 6-10 1-3 1-2 14 9 1 0 14 - -
Malik Monk * 30 6-11 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 1 13 - -
Keon Ellis 23 0-6 0-4 2-2 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Jake LaRavia 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 9 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Markelle Fultz 9 4-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Mason Jones 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Crawford 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Devin Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter