Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (111-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 36 | 7-19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 30 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 27 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 21 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Karlo Matković | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 37 | 11-22 | 5-12 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 25 | 4-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 31 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 24 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter