Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -15 (110-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 30 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 30 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 26 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 24 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 18 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 11-18 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 11-13 | 1-1 | 5-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 13 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter