Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.5% | 59.5% | +2.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 42 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 41 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 39 | 13-32 | 4-14 | 7-10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 33 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Clark | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rob Dillingham | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 12-24 | 5-11 | 6-9 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 38 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter