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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% - ✗
Margin 49.1% 50.9% +0.2 ✗ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.1% 46.9% - ✓

Actual: Orlando Magic -1 (104-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 36 5-13 2-6 4-5 7 2 2 0 16 - -
Ja Morant * 33 10-24 1-7 2-2 4 5 1 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 26 3-13 0-6 10-11 4 1 1 3 16 - -
Jaylen Wells * 16 3-7 0-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Zach Edey * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 - -
Santi Aldama 31 4-9 1-3 0-2 11 4 0 2 9 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 6-10 0-1 1-2 11 2 1 0 13 - -
Luke Kennard 22 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 4 1 0 5 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 - -
GG Jackson 17 4-5 3-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 12 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 38 9-19 2-7 5-6 6 3 1 2 25 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 3-7 1-5 2-2 2 3 1 1 9 - -
Cole Anthony * 33 6-12 2-4 3-4 9 7 2 1 17 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 29 5-12 0-2 0-0 11 0 2 0 10 - -
Paolo Banchero * 28 5-21 1-6 10-13 6 2 0 1 21 - -
Goga Bitadze 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 4 4 - -
Tristan da Silva 17 3-7 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 8 - -
Anthony Black 15 0-3 0-1 0-2 6 2 0 0 0 - -
Jett Howard 12 1-3 1-3 0-2 2 3 0 0 3 - -
Gary Harris 12 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 7 - -

* = starter