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2025-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 ✗ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - ✗

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (102-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 40 9-21 2-8 12-13 1 7 2 2 32 - -
LeBron James * 35 14-24 4-8 8-8 8 4 2 1 40 - -
Rui Hachimura * 35 3-7 0-3 0-0 12 1 0 1 6 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 33 4-7 2-5 0-0 6 0 2 1 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 27 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 1 9 - -
Jordan Goodwin 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
Gabe Vincent 16 2-7 1-6 2-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Trey Jemison III 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Dalton Knecht 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 37 7-8 3-4 2-2 7 3 5 0 19 - -
Deni Avdija * 33 9-14 2-3 8-10 4 5 2 0 28 - -
Jerami Grant * 30 1-12 1-5 0-2 2 2 3 1 3 - -
Anfernee Simons * 28 3-13 0-6 2-5 4 7 1 0 8 - -
Donovan Clingan * 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 6 - -
Scoot Henderson 30 4-13 2-8 2-2 2 5 2 0 12 - -
Robert Williams III 25 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 8 - -
Shaedon Sharpe 21 4-11 3-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Dalano Banton 11 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 7 - -
Kris Murray 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter