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2025-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 38.0% 62.0% +2.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 40 4-14 2-7 7-8 2 8 1 1 17 - -
Kevin Durant * 38 9-13 3-6 1-2 5 2 0 0 22 - -
Royce O'Neale * 35 10-16 6-12 1-2 6 3 3 0 27 - -
Tyus Jones * 22 1-9 1-6 0-0 2 3 1 1 3 - -
Nick Richards * 8 1-2 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 3 - -
Bradley Beal 32 8-14 0-2 3-3 9 6 0 0 19 - -
Grayson Allen 32 3-10 3-9 2-2 2 3 1 1 11 - -
Mason Plumlee 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Bol Bol 9 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Ryan Dunn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 37 8-19 3-7 7-9 9 7 2 2 26 - -
Devin Vassell * 32 5-14 1-5 2-2 2 0 3 1 13 - -
Chris Paul * 31 4-10 3-8 2-2 5 10 2 0 13 - -
Harrison Barnes * 26 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Jeremy Sochan 28 5-8 1-2 1-2 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Stephon Castle 25 4-12 0-3 2-4 10 2 3 0 10 - -
Keldon Johnson 25 6-9 2-4 1-1 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Julian Champagnie 15 5-7 3-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 15 - -

* = starter