Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +11.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (129-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 12-23 | 5-10 | 7-7 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 32 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 27 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 18 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Elfrid Payton * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damion Baugh | 31 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tidjane Salaün | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 11-22 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 12-18 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 22 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter