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2025-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.1% 55.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 ✓ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✗
Efficiency 50.8% 49.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.5% 48.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 51.5% 48.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -6 (108-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 11-25 3-10 11-16 10 5 0 0 36 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 9-18 0-3 7-11 7 5 0 0 25 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 4-8 0-2 1-2 15 0 0 1 9 - -
Cole Anthony * 31 7-13 1-2 2-2 5 3 3 1 17 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 29 2-5 1-3 1-3 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Tristan da Silva 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Goga Bitadze 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 6 - -
Gary Harris 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
Anthony Black 15 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 2 10 - -
Jonathan Isaac 10 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 36 13-28 4-13 8-10 3 6 1 0 38 - -
Dyson Daniels * 33 3-15 0-3 4-6 11 4 3 0 10 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 29 4-8 0-2 3-4 7 3 0 1 11 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 23 4-15 3-5 0-0 12 1 1 1 11 - -
Mouhamed Gueye * 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Caris LeVert 28 6-13 0-3 1-4 4 0 2 0 13 - -
Georges Niang 26 2-6 2-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Terance Mann 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 7 - -
Clint Capela 18 1-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 - -
Dominick Barlow 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter