Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.2% | 47.8% | -0.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +14 (127-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 24 | 4-14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 16 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 32 | 9-17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 24 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ben Sheppard | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jarace Walker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Johnny Furphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter