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2025-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 47.7% 52.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% - ✗
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✗ (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✗
Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% - ✗

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +15 (116-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 34 8-17 0-4 4-5 3 5 1 1 20 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 33 6-21 1-2 11-11 8 9 0 0 24 - -
Luguentz Dort * 31 6-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 14 - -
Chet Holmgren * 30 3-7 1-2 4-6 12 2 2 2 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 27 5-6 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 2 10 - -
Isaiah Joe 21 0-5 0-4 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 - -
Kenrich Williams 19 4-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
Aaron Wiggins 18 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 10 - -
Jaylin Williams 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dillon Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Adam Flagler 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Alex Ducas 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naz Reid * 37 11-18 3-9 2-2 14 7 0 1 27 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 36 9-18 1-6 2-3 6 5 0 0 21 - -
Anthony Edwards * 36 5-18 3-12 10-11 7 7 3 0 23 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 30 5-11 4-9 0-0 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Jaylen Clark * 24 1-6 0-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 28 4-10 1-4 4-4 6 1 0 0 13 - -
Rob Dillingham 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 6 - -
Luka Garza 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 8 - -
Josh Minott 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Joe Ingles 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristen Newton 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Leonard Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter