Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (140-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 45 | 12-24 | 5-12 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 43 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 42 | 8-24 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 42 | 10-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 22 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 43 | 4-17 | 1-9 | 9-12 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 41 | 16-25 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 43 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Karlo Matković | 26 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 18 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter