Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (98-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 7-17 | 5-13 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Holiday * | 37 | 10-20 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 22 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 18 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 10 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter