Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 9-23 | 4-13 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 35 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 28 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 27 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 24 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 39 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 15-25 | 7-10 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 33 | 6-19 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 30 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kylor Kelley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter