Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | β (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | β |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (132-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 37 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Donovan Clingan * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 30 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 28 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Kris Murray * | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 31 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 30 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 18 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 45 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 42 | 20-36 | 7-15 | 8-9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 55 | 30 | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 36 | 11-20 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 33 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji * | 36 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Julian Strawther * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Dario Ε ariΔ | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter