Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (119-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 15-22 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 35 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 14 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 8-21 | 4-15 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 34 | 11-16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 31 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 21 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 15 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter