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2025-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 64.2% 35.8% -3.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% -
Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.1% 26.9% -
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (111-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 9-17 3-6 3-4 4 6 0 0 24 - -
Malik Monk * 37 6-14 3-8 2-2 4 4 0 2 17 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 5-14 2-8 11-11 3 7 0 0 23 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 8-13 0-1 0-0 15 5 2 0 16 - -
Keegan Murray * 33 1-5 1-5 3-4 7 5 0 1 6 - -
Keon Ellis 29 10-14 7-11 0-0 5 1 1 2 27 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 14 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 5 - -
Jake LaRavia 10 0-2 0-2 0-4 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Trey Lyles 9 0-5 0-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 36 6-16 1-6 6-6 4 5 0 1 19 - -
Jose Alvarado * 32 7-15 3-9 1-1 3 9 2 1 18 - -
CJ McCollum * 30 7-17 0-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 14 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 13-18 1-1 6-9 9 7 2 0 33 - -
Yves Missi * 27 4-9 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 8 - -
Bruce Brown 26 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Antonio Reeves 18 3-5 2-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 8 - -
Karlo Matković 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 - -
Jordan Hawkins 13 1-4 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Javonte Green 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter