Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.1% | 22.9% | -6.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -23 (108-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 29 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 27 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 26 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 26 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 26 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Emoni Bates | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Travers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 28 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 25 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 11 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter