Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | β (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | β |
Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (116-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 38 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 24 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 12-25 | 4-14 | 4-8 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 37 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 34 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 31 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Baylor Scheierman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter