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2025-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - ✗
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - ✓
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (112-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 35 6-13 2-5 6-7 8 4 1 0 20 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 6-17 0-5 5-8 6 1 2 1 17 - -
Ja Morant * 33 8-19 0-5 10-12 7 6 1 0 26 - -
Jaylen Wells * 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Zach Edey * 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 2 4 - -
Santi Aldama 23 5-10 4-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 14 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 7-11 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 14 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 16 3-9 1-6 0-0 9 1 0 0 7 - -
Luke Kennard 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 - -
GG Jackson 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 11 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 42 12-18 3-4 7-10 3 3 1 5 34 - -
Devin Booker * 39 6-13 0-3 5-5 2 9 0 0 17 - -
Tyus Jones * 32 4-11 2-7 1-1 3 9 2 0 11 - -
Bol Bol * 30 7-16 3-10 1-2 14 2 2 4 18 - -
Nick Richards * 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Royce O'Neale 33 4-12 3-10 0-0 6 4 1 0 11 - -
Grayson Allen 19 3-7 1-4 2-2 0 3 2 0 9 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 13 1-8 0-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 - -
Mason Plumlee 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Ryan Dunn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter