Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +29 (146-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 28 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 7-9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 21 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 20 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Duop Reath | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 12-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 30 | 15-22 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 40 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 28 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 29 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 18 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter