Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (128-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk * | 42 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 41 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 38 | 15-22 | 4-6 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 38 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 17 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 43 | 11-25 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 34 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kylor Kelley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter