Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | -1.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (111-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 12-24 | 6-16 | 8-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 12-15 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski | 32 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gui Santos | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jackson Rowe | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 12-20 | 3-9 | 11-13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 32 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| AJ Green | 21 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter