Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -18 (85-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 13-26 | 4-12 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 32 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser * | 24 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 36 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Baylor Scheierman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 9-10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 25 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 26 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 25 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter