Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (123-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 10-19 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 31 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 27 | 16-21 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Karlo Matković | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 14 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine * | 37 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 32 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 10 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter