Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 60.8% | 39.2% | -2.4 | β (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -17 (105-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 12-23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nikola JokiΔ * | 28 | 11-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 17 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 30 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 28 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 13 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 33 | 8-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| MontΓ© Morris | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Collin Gillespie | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter