Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.6% | 19.4% | -7.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -13 (112-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Wiggins * | 38 | 9-18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 37 | 12-20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 8-26 | 3-5 | 13-16 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 25 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 36 | 6-19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 24 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| GG Jackson | 20 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zyon Pullin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter