Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 7-11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 11-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 29 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 38 | 14-28 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 20 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 26 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 18 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 11 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter