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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% -
Margin 42.5% 57.5% +1.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% -
Log Adjusted 56.7% 43.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +7 (124-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 35 7-15 4-9 1-1 2 9 2 1 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 33 6-15 0-2 11-11 6 4 2 0 23 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 24 5-12 1-3 5-5 5 0 0 0 16 - -
Thomas Bryant * 23 6-10 1-3 0-0 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 21 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 - -
Ben Sheppard 27 3-6 3-5 1-1 3 1 2 1 10 - -
Obi Toppin 22 4-8 3-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Aaron Nesmith 21 3-9 0-6 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 - -
Jarace Walker 16 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 3-6 0-1 6-6 1 1 0 0 12 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 40 14-26 4-9 13-13 7 7 3 0 45 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 34 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 6 0 1 7 - -
Rui Hachimura * 33 8-13 2-3 6-6 9 0 1 0 24 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 29 4-4 0-0 1-2 12 2 0 2 9 - -
Gabe Vincent * 24 5-13 2-8 0-0 0 7 2 0 12 - -
Jordan Goodwin 24 4-7 1-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Shake Milton 15 1-4 0-1 0-1 3 4 0 0 2 - -
Trey Jemison III 11 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Markieff Morris 6 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter