Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (116-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 41 | 10-21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Amen Thompson * | 36 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 7 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 30 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 4-6 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 26 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 21 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 32 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 23 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter