Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 34 | 8-20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo * | 27 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 22 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 15 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 33 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 14-14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Hartenstein * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Chet Holmgren * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 25 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 20 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dillon Jones | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Alex Ducas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Adam Flagler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Branden Carlson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter