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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - ✓
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - ✓
Efficiency 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +13 (125-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 9-20 4-10 5-6 3 7 2 0 27 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 7-11 0-1 0-0 11 2 1 1 14 - -
Paul George * 30 6-10 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 14 - -
Justin Edwards * 29 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 29 7-18 1-4 8-10 7 6 0 2 23 - -
Quentin Grimes 28 5-9 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 14 - -
Kyle Lowry 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 1 2 - -
Adem Bona 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Eric Gordon 10 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 - -
Chuma Okeke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Ricky Council IV 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Beasley * 37 13-23 9-19 1-3 3 1 0 0 36 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 8-16 0-0 6-6 9 3 1 0 22 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 30 2-9 2-8 0-0 5 3 0 1 6 - -
Ausar Thompson * 27 5-7 0-0 4-6 8 6 1 0 14 - -
Jalen Duren * 19 5-7 0-0 3-3 13 7 1 0 13 - -
Marcus Sasser 28 3-9 2-5 1-2 0 5 2 0 9 - -
Isaiah Stewart 21 3-7 1-1 3-4 8 2 0 1 10 - -
Simone Fontecchio 18 3-10 2-8 2-2 5 2 0 1 10 - -
Ronald Holland II 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 - -
Daniss Jenkins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter