Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 37 | 6-22 | 2-11 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 31 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ziaire Williams * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nic Claxton * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 29 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 26 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson * | 23 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 22 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tosan Evbuomwan | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 20 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Wilson | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter