Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 48.9% | 51.1% | +0.2 | β (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Portis * | 37 | 10-20 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 7-19 | 4-13 | 5-5 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Taurean Prince * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Andre Jackson Jr. * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 28 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 23 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - | |
| AJ Green | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 34 | 9-22 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 20 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 22 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 20 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter