Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets +1 (117-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 7-20 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 31 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 36 | 9-26 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 34 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Moussa Diabaté * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nick Smith Jr. * | 33 | 8-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 21 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| KJ Simpson | 19 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tidjane Salaün | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Taj Gibson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter