Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (120-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 37 | 13-35 | 6-20 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-6 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Quinten Post * | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 32 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Pat Spencer | 16 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jackson Rowe | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Hachimura * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 14-25 | 6-9 | 8-10 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 42 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 35 | 4-17 | 0-9 | 15-16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 29 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter