Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +22 (112-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 29 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 26 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Anthony Black | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan da Silva | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jett Howard | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Isaac | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trevelin Queen | 11 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 31 | 11-16 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter