Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -7 (120-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum * | 19 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 30 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 28 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 28 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 26 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 25 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 32 | 9-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Drew Peterson | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jordan Walsh | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter