Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +25 (144-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yves Missi * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Karlo Matković * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 27 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 26 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 24 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keion Brooks Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 16-23 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 15-28 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| PJ Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter