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2025-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Margin 61.3% 38.7% -2.5 ✓ (28.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.1% 28.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors -31 (107-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 10-16 4-5 8-9 5 4 0 1 32 - -
Ja Morant * 25 9-14 3-7 5-6 5 4 2 0 26 - -
Zach Edey * 24 5-5 0-0 3-4 15 2 0 2 13 - -
Luke Kennard * 22 1-6 1-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Jaylen Wells * 21 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
GG Jackson 20 5-8 1-3 6-7 6 1 0 0 17 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 5-6 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 1 13 - -
Santi Aldama 18 2-7 1-4 1-3 4 2 1 0 6 - -
Marcus Smart 18 0-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 13 4-6 4-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 12 2-5 0-0 0-1 4 2 2 0 4 - -
Jake LaRavia 4 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Yuki Kawamura 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
John Konchar 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 31 4-18 0-7 3-3 2 9 2 3 11 - -
Gradey Dick * 31 5-17 1-7 2-2 7 0 1 0 13 - -
Jamal Shead * 30 5-10 2-5 2-2 0 4 1 0 14 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter * 28 5-11 1-4 3-3 3 3 2 0 14 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 24 3-11 1-5 2-2 7 2 1 0 9 - -
Ochai Agbaji 21 5-7 3-4 1-2 3 2 2 0 14 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 18 4-8 2-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Bruce Brown 18 3-9 0-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Davion Mitchell 17 4-5 1-2 1-1 1 5 1 0 10 - -
Jamison Battle 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Orlando Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter