Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -7 (101-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 11-20 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 26 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 36 | 8-9 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 27 | - | |
| Terry Rozier | 27 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 40 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Tyrese Maxey * | 38 | 11-28 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 15 | - | |
| Paul George * | 32 | 3-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Guerschon Yabusele * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - | |
| Justin Edwards * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Eric Gordon | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Adem Bona | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Ricky Council IV | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter