Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | β (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -1 (125-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 11-22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 26 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 42 | 10-21 | 3-11 | 9-11 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 38 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 30 | 13-16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter