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2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.7% 51.3% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +23 (112-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 31 6-14 0-2 4-4 6 1 1 1 16 11 -
Bennedict Mathurin * 29 4-9 1-1 3-5 7 2 0 0 12 12 -
Myles Turner * 29 3-8 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 9 4 -
Andrew Nembhard * 27 6-10 0-1 5-6 6 2 2 1 17 18 -
Tyrese Haliburton * 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 6 1 2 0 8 -
Ben Sheppard 20 4-10 1-6 0-0 4 2 1 1 9 7 -
T.J. McConnell 18 7-11 0-1 0-0 4 4 2 0 14 13 -
Aaron Nesmith 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 5 4 -
Thomas Bryant 14 1-5 0-2 3-4 3 2 2 0 5 7 -
Obi Toppin 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jarace Walker 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
Enrique Freeman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Johnny Furphy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Johnson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 35 5-7 1-2 2-2 7 2 1 1 13 17 -
Anfernee Simons * 32 8-16 4-9 2-2 3 7 0 0 22 16 -
Jerami Grant * 31 6-14 3-6 5-5 2 1 1 0 20 10 -
Deni Avdija * 23 2-9 1-6 1-2 4 1 0 0 6 2 -
Deandre Ayton * 21 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 1 8 14 -
Scoot Henderson 27 7-13 3-5 0-0 8 5 1 0 17 18 -
Shaedon Sharpe 24 6-17 1-7 4-4 4 1 3 0 17 8 -
Robert Williams III 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 11 3 0 2 4 15 -
Kris Murray 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Dalano Banton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Rayan Rupert 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Duop Reath 2 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
Jabari Walker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter